@themattsimpson @St_Rev Thanks! Yes, on first glance, similar to Taleb’s arguments. Random boast: I was massively short mortgages in 2007.
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@Meaningness @themattsimpson Yeah, saddle points occur in totally deterministic, low-dimensional systems! Point there is *epistemological*. -
@St_Rev @themattsimpson Right. I wish philosophers spent more time thinking about dynamical chaos (and less about quantum).
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@Meaningness @themattsimpson It's a toy model of modeling uncertainty. Linearize around the fixed point, and your historical data...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness @themattsimpson ...gives you a good model of the parameters that are falling to zero, nothing abt parameters blowing up.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness @themattsimpson The ones that are about to blow up are historically invisible, your model can't see them.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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