@Meaningness ...such motion must yield accurate results in any universe described (on a much deeper level) by quantum field theory
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Replying to @GapOfGods
@tipsfromkatee , but Bayesianism is <1% of a theory of understanding.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness it's a complete theory of how to solve a particular class of problems (figure out posteriors given priors and evidence)1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @GapOfGods
@tipsfromkatee But that is a trivial class of problems, as is proven by the fact that the complete theory is "divide the two numbers".4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness it doesn't matter how "trivial" it is if people get it grossly wrong a lot1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
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Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness i would also agree that most rationality mileage is not directly related to differences between bayesianism and frequentism3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @GapOfGods
@tipsfromkatee My point is rather that probability of any stripe is a tiny part of math/science/rationality.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness explicit probabilities are a small part, but uncertainty in general is a large part2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @GapOfGods
@Meaningness and you can think about not-explicitly-probabilistic uncertainty with probabilistic tools2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@tipsfromkatee and this can lead to overlooking the impact of "unknown unknowns", because probability does not teach you to consider >
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