@St_Rev @semiotechnic P(Red Sox Victory) is BOTH non-quantifiable AND has prob greater than 1/20M?
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Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@semiotechnic Yes. You're mistaking abuse of notation for proof. Here P and > are shorthand for looser concepts of likelihood.9 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@semiotechnic My point is you can "sandwich" P(RedSoxVic) between two classic lottery probabilities... odd to say incommensurate.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@semiotechnic I distinguished earlier between ordinal and cardinal likelihood. Compare to utility theory. To say u(X) > u(Y)...1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@semiotechnic What I find odd is that you are willing to say "a > X > b" but also "X is a completely different thing from a & c."3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@semiotechnic Or, 'the sky is a weasel' < 'the sky is indigo' < 'the sky is blue' < 'the sky is not a weasel'.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@semiotechnic@Meaningness All of these sound like category errors to me.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@St_Rev@semiotechnic That's kind of the point, isn't it? Some uncertainty can usefully be represented numerically, some can't.5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@simplic10@semiotechnic In particular, *vagueness* and *ill-definedness* don't seem amenable to quantification.4 replies 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@Meaningness@simplic10@semiotechnic that's quitter talk1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
@admittedlyhuman @St_Rev @simplic10 @semiotechnic That way lies epicycles (or madness, whichever comes first)!
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Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@St_Rev@simplic10 anything that can be thought about can be quantified and I don't like to think about the things that can't0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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