Spill the crack, David
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Replying to @paul_hundred @KarlMaeser and
long story but part is the hypothesis is they’ve developed a trick of evading immune surveillance for long enough that the response winds down and then they ramp up again. so you get lotke-volterra dynamics internally.
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Replying to @Meaningness @paul_hundred and
colds work increasingly like this, in my experience https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lotka–Volterra_equations …pic.twitter.com/CiRKHSzZPP
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Replying to @Meaningness @KarlMaeser and
Have been observing more long-tailed colds. A tapering cycle like this seems a plausible fit.
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Replying to @paul_hundred @KarlMaeser and
Yeah when I was a kid a cold lasted a week. The CDC still says they do, but recent studies say 3 is typical and 6 is common. I think I finally shook one that lasted 15 months just as covid appeared on the radar.
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Replying to @Meaningness @paul_hundred and
i got one almost a month ago and still have nasal drip, can't remember the last time i had a short cold
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Replying to @The_Lagrangian @paul_hundred and
Well I suspect this is now everyone’s experience, and I was hoping everyone would suddenly Get It if I pointed out this out (“Oh, yeah, I never thought of that”) and everyone would laugh at the CDC and I would be famous and universally loved but it’s all too late for that
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Replying to @Meaningness @The_Lagrangian and
There’s a bunch of downstream stuff, e.g. a calculation of the economic cost of colds if you take into account that they really last a month, not a week, which would argue strongly for massive funding for adequate vaccines/treatments.
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Replying to @Meaningness @The_Lagrangian and
Maybe that will happen now anyway
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Replying to @Meaningness @paul_hundred and
well if we lock everyone in full quarantine for a month or two we may eliminate many strains of the cold, though if your hypothesis is correct we may be left _only_ with the ones that satisfy it
1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
oh god I hadn’t thought of that :(
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