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Meaningness's profile
David Chapman
David Chapman
David Chapman
@Meaningness

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David Chapman

@Meaningness

Better ways of thinking, feeling, and acting—around problems of meaning and meaninglessness; self and society; ethics, purpose, and value.

meaningness.com/about-my-sites
Joined September 2010

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    1. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 10
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      When gambling, think about what's probable. When hedging, think about what's plausible. When preparing, think about what's possible.

      31 replies 544 retweets 2,237 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 10
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      gambling -> maximum likelihood hedging -> minimax prepping -> common sense Don't use the wrong tool for the problem.

      3 replies 57 retweets 360 likes
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    3. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 12
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      Friends, early draft on Naive Probabilism and coronavirus. Thoughts and suggestions, please.pic.twitter.com/d5C6hiOxXx

      34 replies 188 retweets 608 likes
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    4. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 13
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      Posted to ResearchersOne Easier to read and available for comments. Please post suggestions there. Thanks.https://www.researchers.one/article/2020-03-9 …

      7 replies 28 retweets 123 likes
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    5. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 13
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      For more technical stuff (but not too technical) on how to better understand data from complex systems. https://www.amazon.com/Probabilistic-Foundations-Statistical-Monographs-Probability/dp/1138630152/ … Current situation shows how very far behind we are.

      3 replies 11 retweets 81 likes
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    6. Harry Crane‏ @HarryDCrane Mar 13
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      Harry Crane Retweeted Harry Crane

      The practical scope of naive probabilism is limited to the domain that we are already intuitively good at. Best case, the formalism adds no value. Worst case, it adds negative value.https://twitter.com/HarryDCrane/status/1238499013315493889 …

      Harry Crane added,

      Harry Crane @HarryDCrane
      Only fools and idiots need to "prepare" for what's probable. We already expect certain things to happen. We're automatically prepared for those cases. Status quo. We need to prepare for what's improbable, yet possible. https://twitter.com/OlliTiainen/status/1238498230381527044 …
      2 replies 5 retweets 28 likes
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      David Chapman‏ @Meaningness Mar 14
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      Replying to @context_ing @HarryDCrane

      Thank you!

      8:07 PM - 14 Mar 2020
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      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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