As a persistent critic of AI hype, I should be glad for backlash. A new wave of Important Thinkpieces from Famous Pundits say AI is impossible, we don’t need to worry about it, etc.
Most are riddled with glaring illogic, false analogies, motivated reasoning, & factual errors
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You can’t meaningfully evaluate prospects for AI without understanding enormous quantities of specific technical details. Pundits on both sides have utterly inadequate knowledge, and just express their emotional reactions to imagined outcomes in fictional scenarios.
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Even setting facts aside, “We don’t know for sure that an AI apocalypse is possible even in principle” is an astonishingly bad argument for ignoring the hypothetical danger. Finding myself way more sympathetic to Singularitarian doomsayers than previously.
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Replying to @Meaningness
I agree with everything except the final conclusion, in that the arguments of the Singularitarian doomsayers are isomorphic in form to those of their opponents. All arguments from ignorance are bad, including those dressed up in probability theory.
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Yes, I meant that I’m emotionally sympathetic to the frustration I imagine they must be feeling; not that I give any greater weight to their arguments.
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