Slightly embarrassed by that piece now; I wrote it in one long day, many years ago, when @xuenay asked “if not Bayesianism, then what?” It’s a half-baked brain-dump. But I’m glad it’s still of some interest!
Book I’m writing now is trying to do a better job on the same topic.
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Replying to @Meaningness @MuhammadPuter12 and
In the current outline, problem finding/creation is in “When to get meta-rational,” “Locating trouble,” “Creating a Problem,” and “Feeling for an ontology.”pic.twitter.com/PDtPf9Nsb5
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Looking forward to the book. Just want to point out that the topic of my thread is field finding (not field founding nor problem finding).
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Replying to @michael_nielsen @Meaningness and
Can I add into the mix of things you weren't discussing 'moment choosing'. That is, tackling a problem at the moment when it goes from being impossible to merely difficult. Been really important for me, entirely through luck of course rather than design.
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Replying to @CameronNeylon @michael_nielsen and
Wow, yes! I’ve been lucky that way too. Some people are in the right place at the right time over and over, in which case it’s probably not luck. Sydney Brenner is my favorite example of that.
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Replying to @Meaningness @michael_nielsen and
People also get over confident. Thinking the first time wasn't luck (or rather misinterpreting their success). Thinking about it, it might be a meta-skill. Problem selection/formulation combined with receptivity to identifying/abstracting newly possible approaches
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Replying to @CameronNeylon @michael_nielsen and
Yes! And, conversely, feeling for when your field is running out of momentum and it’s time to look for something else that may be opening out
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Replying to @Meaningness @michael_nielsen and
Is that the inverse of the same thing? Realising that the pool of significant problems is drying up and the available tools don't generalise to other/broader/bigger problems? (I trained in chemistry. This may not be coincidental...)
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Replying to @Meaningness @CameronNeylon and
Heh. I simply quit my tenured job to work on open science; it was much easier than convincing my institution to support that work. "Enormous institutional reforms" may be an understatement.
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Afraid so. I fear the university system is past saving and new institutional models are needed. Fortunately some are springing up!
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Replying to @Meaningness @michael_nielsen and
Well FWIW we’re taking the view that the university is worth saving. We just need to figure out what it actually *is* that we’re saving precisely...https://wip.pubpub.org/oki
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Replying to @CameronNeylon @Meaningness and
michael_nielsen Retweeted michael_nielsen
This kind of thing bugs the hell out of me, to put it mildly: https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/status/1103503007126179840 …. Even if you have a vastly better model, not clear it'll matter.
michael_nielsen added,
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