That weird obsession with decision-making.pic.twitter.com/4odgISsJpz
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That weird obsession with decision-making.pic.twitter.com/4odgISsJpz
to me this is one of your clearest expressions of how rationalism falls short
I was about to say it’s the clearest example of how he doesn’t seem to get it.
“Why do you spend so much time fixing bugs instead of concentrating on all the times the software works normally?”
Perhaps a better analogy: why are you worried about how the boiler behaves if it gets overpressurized? Why not just focus on how well it runs the rest of the time?
I don't really get this analogy. As I understand David, he's saying that rationalism focuses on how to maximize EV at explicit decision points, but ignores how to deal with facets of the system that don't show up as explicit choices
It's not [rational = bugs] vs. [metarational = working smoothly], but rather [rational = choice points] vs. [metarational = total behavior of the system]
Yes! And not just total behavior of system, but how it fits into its context, and the design space of alternative systems and possible revisions
But this is literally what conversations about decision theories on Lesswrong are like!
Hmm... maybe a specific example of that would help?
Thanks! I read the intro and conclusion of this (and very quickly scanned the stuff in between to see if anything looked surprising at a glance, which it didn’t). If I TL;DR’d it as “here are a bunch of reasons decision theory doesn’t work in the real world” would I be wrong?
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