Great thread on where we're likely to be overconfident, and why. (Chapman's explanations for econ & nutrition seem plausible to me; I think there may be a simpler one for AI.)https://twitter.com/Meaningness/status/1096864239736639488 …
Yes, I’ve been complaining about that for the past couple hours :) What is your take on this?
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It's fun because it's stimulating me to come up with stories about why I'm not worried. I think at bottom I am kind of accelerationist.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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