Everyone thinks their opinion about economics, nutrition, and AI is as justified as anyone else’s. Expert knowledge is considered irrelevant in these domains. You can figure it out for yourself, using common sense. Your opinion is sensible, and contrary ones are obviously wrong.
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In the case of nutrition, there is no genuine expert knowledge. However, in the conditions in which we evolved, it was critical to keep track of what was edible, so (I’m guessing) we have an innate drive to form strong opinions about that.https://meaningness.com/nutrition
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Why do people with little/no knowledge of AI have strong opinions about its rate of progress? I suspect these are really opinions about what it is to be human. They’re intuitions about what aspects of experience are important; about what life is like.
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E.g., rationality comes easily to some people—and not others. Why? the rational ask themselves. Because intelligence. It obviously varies a lot. There’s no apparent upper limit, and it’s easy. So making super-intelligent rational machines should be straightforward engineering.
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Isn't this kind of tautological? Knowledge of tribe superiority IS cultural data. Knowledge is "irrelevant" vs. relevant knowledge is missing... which one is it?
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In the case of (macro) Econ, I find it as likely that it's because the field still relies heavily on a priori knowledge that, unlike mathematics, doesn't require many years to generally intuit. Nobody argues about technical stuff like model calibration or SVAR, right?
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Nah, don't overthink it dude, is Dunning-kruger effect most of the time, it happens also with politics, education, writing, journalism, psicology... You name it, people will defend their opinion harder when they are not experts, experts learn to be humble
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I'd add to your list opinions about the existence of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe.
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