“If your method requires infinite storage space and computation speed to use, the problem is not that finite beings aren’t sufficiently rational, it’s that your method doesn’t work.”
(@nostalgebraist re Bayes, but applies to many rationalist fantasies.)http://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/161645122124/bayes-a-kinda-sorta-masterpost …
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And also this. In conclusion,
@nostalgebraist’s write-up is excellent, and afaict the LW commenters have missed his point.pic.twitter.com/fTZmD4Sg0f
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The only sense I can make of EY’s post is that it’s a reiteration of the Dutch Book argument: “yeah, whatever, but if you play a fair betting game using some other math, you’ll lose.” Which is true. Fortunately, the Count of Flanders. Unfortunately, nihilistic depression.pic.twitter.com/RNXMSbeHrZ
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