“If your method requires infinite storage space and computation speed to use, the problem is not that finite beings aren’t sufficiently rational, it’s that your method doesn’t work.”
(@nostalgebraist re Bayes, but applies to many rationalist fantasies.)http://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/161645122124/bayes-a-kinda-sorta-masterpost …
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And also this. In conclusion,
@nostalgebraist’s write-up is excellent, and afaict the LW commenters have missed his point.pic.twitter.com/fTZmD4Sg0f
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Curious, are you familiar with Andrew Lo's Taxonomy of Uncertainty? ("WARNING: Physics Envy May Be Hazardous To Your Wealth!" https://arxiv.org/pdf/1003.2688.pdf …) Bayes is level 4 (Partially Reducible Uncertainty). Level 5 includes Computational Irreducibility https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computational_irreducibility … .pic.twitter.com/cZDUsMIqcX
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Thank you! Yes, have seen that before, but good to be reminded.
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