First try at a diagram showing how formal rationality relies on informal (non-rational) reasonableness to connect it with reality.pic.twitter.com/Q0VFRWR44w
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First try at a diagram showing how formal rationality relies on informal (non-rational) reasonableness to connect it with reality.pic.twitter.com/Q0VFRWR44w
c.f. this diagram from http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~kass/papers/bigpic.pdf …pic.twitter.com/O88q6I1g0r
Yes! Thank you for the paper link, I’ve only just scrolled through it, but it looks exactly on-target. This diagram is very much the thing. Many people want there to be a fixed procedure that derives justified conclusions from data, but there just isn’t one.pic.twitter.com/hZKNxZEbfm
Yup. I certainly used to want there to exist such a procedure. Now it seems a bit absurd to me. I also like this paper's insistence that a "scientific model" is not equivalent to a "statistical model." Amazing how that point gets lost.
Yes! That’s something I am emphasizing in the thing I’m writing now. In intro stats, “model” often means “Gaussian” or whatever, and it’s not emphasized that this is downstream from one’s mechanistic understanding of the process you take the data from.
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