More evidence suggesting that support for war in Russia reported by pollsters is inflated. Independent pollster Russian Field analysed their call recordings and identified common reasons of refusal to participate.
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A respondent’s refusal to participate in a survey regarding the war: “If you ask me whether I support the war, I can answer your question. If you’re asking me about “special military operation” [the term used by the government], I won’t. Go fuck yourself”.pic.twitter.com/X7tDhSGAaR
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These are 1) anger at the government, 2) fear of the government, and 3) general atmosphere of distrust, anxiety, and confusion.
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Who are most likely to refuse to participate when people see pollsters as agents of the government? Those who oppose the war and those who have no clear opinion on the issue.
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What does it do to the samples? Those who disapprove the war are underrepresented in samples -> those who approve it are overrepresented in samples -> poll results are biased in favour of support for the war.
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