The IHME has just published what they expect for the coming 3 months.
They expect much lower severity of each individual infection, but an extremely high number of infections.
BREAKING: According to our updated #COVID19 model, we project 3 billion infections over the next three months globally, #Omicron rapidly spreading around the world since Oct. 8
Modelhttps://lnkd.in/dJ8rr65
Bloghttps://lnkd.in/g4idmwn
Briefingshttps://lnkd.in/estaY45
how much in% that will be in severe cases?
if it's just 10% from 3 billion people then it will result in 300 million hospitalization,
that is absurdly high... for the context just from today sata total worldwide reported covid cases hasn't even crossed that number yet...
This is the expected and normal path of a virus to take.
The more people infected with the milder strain the quicker it becomes yet another winter sniffle.
#Covid19 will end like the common cold.
‘If it changes its spike protein so much that it can’t interact with that receptor, then it’s not going to be able to get inside the cell. So, there aren’t many places for the virus to go to’ #DameSarahGilbert,