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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    This response is possibly the trigger some may need to see the novelCoV as something more serious than flu. This response doesn't happen for flu in China each year does it? This is different and why we want to prevent spread if at all possible.

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    As of 22:45 February 4th (GMT) there have been 23,865 confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV worldwide. That is up by 3989 in the last 24 hours.

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    Thailand has 25 confirmed cases, Japan 24, Singapore 24. The has continued to spread with Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand reporting new infections that weren’t imported from China. They now seem to be suffering sustained local transmission.

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    “People think if they shut down air transport from certain flights they shut down transmission,” Heymann said. “But what if an infected passenger changed planes in a country still coming in? They can still get into your country”

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    It's looking increasingly unlikely that can be contained. I spoke with this weekend on what that might look like, and what we still don't know.

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    "We're basically at a pandemic now. We need point of care diagnostics, we need lower threshold for doing (tests)." Gregory Polland MD

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    scientists: - ~75,815 people in Wuhan infected with the by Jan. 22 - R0 ~2.68 -epidemic doubling every 6.4 days. -epidemics growing exponentially in multiple major cities of w/ a lag time behind Wuhan outbreak ~ 1-2 weeks

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj
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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Things to watch. 1. Transmission rates outside of China. Are they sustained and R0 still 2.5+, Asymptomatic spreading? 2. Is morbidity and mortality as it gets out of healthy travelers and into local populations (more at risk) similar?

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  10. 1. velj
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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    At the onset of the epidemic Dr. Li Wenliang was 1 of 8 people jailed in for "spreading false rumors". Now he's free & we know he was the whistleblower who told the world about an epidemic authorities were trying to cover up.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    : 13 suspected cases are being monitored by the Ministry of Health in the following states: Ceará (1), Minas Gerais (1), Paraná (1), Rio Grande do Sul (2), Santa Catarina (1) and São Paulo (7). Updates:

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    My take on the situation: The world needs a massive investment to protect against the next health threat. Where billions of dollars are needed to protect against future health threats, just a small fraction has been provided.

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  14. 1. velj
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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. sij

    Make your own hand sanitizer to protect against 50% isopropyl alcohol 25% aloe vera gel 25% water Drops of your preferred perfume, e.g.. vanilla, peppermint, lemon, etc Reuse/recycle a spray bottle as the delivery method. Keep the bottle sanitized too.

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  16. 1. velj

    The 2003 SARS epidemic sickened roughly 8,100 people across the globe over nine months. By contrast, nearly 10,000 cases of the new virus have been confirmed since December 31st.

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  17. 1. velj
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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    New preprint: The novel coronavirus 2019 (2019-nCoV) uses the SARS-coronavirus receptor ACE2 and the cellular protease TMPRSS2 for entry into target cells

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    And there is the possibility of 2nd infection, coz the antibody production is transient and short-lived! You won't be immune to , will this become a common disease and exist with us forever?

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  20. 1. velj

    5) There is no way in hell the United States is prepared to deal with an pandemic outbreak of a serious novel pathogen on American soil. That should terrify you. I know it terrifies me.

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