In the 2019 SF district attorney race, the difference was 15.22%. Make sure to thoughtfully choose your #2 and subsequent votes! https://www.sfelections.org/results/20191105/data/20191125/da/20191125_da_detail.pdf …
Maybe you could argue that if voters had filled out their ballots completely the result would've been different, but mostly it seems like you think moderate voters *should* all have ranked other moderates second. But they didn't! Nothing undemocratic about that.
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I agree w/you that my analysis is mostly driven by intuition. Perhaps I should’ve disclosed this first–but you seem to have understood this. As you prob know, such data is hard to come by. In any case, it’s still interesting to think about the mechanics of what happened and why.
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It'd be interesting to see what happened if we could see comprehensive rankings instead of just round-by-round totals but AFAIK that's not available. (It is for BTV 2009.) FWIW I prefer approval voting, where you can just mark more than one candidate, unordered. Simpler.
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