How big of a lead does Adams (or whoever) need to survive the instant-runoff process? @fairvote has tracked 15 come-from-behind RCV winners since 2004, and most were within a few points of the 1st-round leader.pic.twitter.com/hCdDDY67Fo
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So if, like, Tung would've got 75% of Loftus's second-choice votes and beat Boudin in the last round, maybe that'd be an RCV failure. But as far as we know the "moderate" votes didn't split like that.
Maybe you could argue that if voters had filled out their ballots completely the result would've been different, but mostly it seems like you think moderate voters *should* all have ranked other moderates second. But they didn't! Nothing undemocratic about that.
I agree w/you that my analysis is mostly driven by intuition. Perhaps I should’ve disclosed this first–but you seem to have understood this. As you prob know, such data is hard to come by. In any case, it’s still interesting to think about the mechanics of what happened and why.
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