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MattGrossmann's profile
Matt Grossmann
Matt Grossmann
Matt Grossmann
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@MattGrossmann

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Matt GrossmannVerified account

@MattGrossmann

Michigan State political scientist & @ippsr Director; @hookedlansing Co-owner; Also: @niskanencenter @fivethirtyeight; New book: How Social Science Got Better

East Lansing, MI
mattg.org
Joined February 2014

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    1. Matt Grossmann‏Verified account @MattGrossmann 9 Nov 2020

      Ossoff-Perdue margin ran 2 % points behind Biden-Trump margin. All Dems in the special vs. all Reps in the special ran 1.2 % points behind Biden-Trump. So Dems need more persuasion or differential turnout to win in January. Nationalizing the elections doesn't seem likely to help.

      4 replies 17 retweets 113 likes
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      Matt Grossmann‏Verified account @MattGrossmann 9 Nov 2020

      Warnock might have been helped by Ossoff losing. Loeffler has higher unfavorables than Perdue. If there was only 1 race & Senate control was not up in the air, he could have run a more specific negative campaign. Now it's likely to be a nationalized partisan & ideological race.

      8:12 AM - 9 Nov 2020
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      • Sharer of scary COVID news and cat videos Shelby Paper Bob Lupton Koopa Craig “Black Lives STILL Matter” Smith Kevin Marien Parker Donham Danielle Bassaces
      2 replies 4 retweets 29 likes
        1. Ranjan Daniels‏ @ranjandaniels 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @MattGrossmann

          I wonder if Warnock helped Biden/Ossoff by holding African-American males- whereas in other states Trump gained ground. Haven't seen a breakdown

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Sid Jindal‏ @SidJindal1 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @MattGrossmann

          But that is the inevitable result of a race on which senate control hinges. Of course a lower stakes race would be convenient but it's not the nature of politics.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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