Institutional support is also vast compared to a century ago. In the US alone, major research universities offering tenure to professors in the mathematical sciences have more than doubled in just the past 25 years. Conferences, summer schools, and prestigious prizes abound.
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No similarly eminent mathematician has mooted a similarly pessimistic view of the art's prospects. On the contrary: great mathematicians have tended to predict extraordinary things to result from the art's inevitable assimilation and refinement of recent breakthroughs.
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Because mathematicians have the freedom to devise and pursue entirely new fields of research -- a freedom successfully exploited, repeatedly, by its greatest past masters -- the formidable intricacy of its current best-established fields is no bar to its further flourishing.
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If at any particular epoch of mathematical history no low-hanging fruit remains on some particular mathematical tree, then mathematicians may choose to plant, cultivate, and harvest the fruit of entirely new trees. Indeed, when frustrated, they have often done exactly that.
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So what is going on? Why is mathematical practice today not dramatically more successful than a century ago? Why is there no spectacular contemporary flourishing of the art, with entirely new fields opened up by ten times as many Poincarés, Hilberts, Cartans, and Noethers?
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