The reason I say s&p 3579 is worse case scenario possible in early November is because after the reversal from the 2022 bottom ( Trading 101) that the market made on Oct 13. You had the test of the bottom
(Also Trading 101) down to 3579 on s&p.
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My worse case scenario for early November drop that I predicted would happen back in Oct 25 is s&p 3579. Lowest market will go and if it goes that low it will happen from November 8-10.
After November 10 I think it back to buy and hold and risk drops dramatically until Dec 31.
