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This was the prediction from 2 weeks ago. It still stands. We got the warning shot on 8/22. The market is falling even faster pre labor day than I would have thought.
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So next time to worry? 1) The market will warn you if this massive 20%+ rally in the last month is over. There would be a warning shot of a 2% S&P drop day. 2) After Labor day until Big Cap Earnings in Oct. That should be the worse possible stretch going forward for 2022.