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The bear market will end when the VIX spikes and climaxes. When the market drops enough that the insiders that dumped at the highs in november decide that it's time to buy in again at peanuts and hold long term again for next Bull market.
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What would help the market out of the bear market but unlikely to happen. 1) Government gives out Trillions in Free money again. 2) FED says XXXX Inflation and stops raising rates. 3) More QE etc. 4) War ends and Russia become a nice neighbor.
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The market is being repriced. Period. 2008 was a financial crisis. This is all about multiple compression. Just watch how low forward PE goes too. 14 would be low. We were at 23. 16 is historic average.
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Yep...put aside the big ups & downs each day You only get long term price appreciation in 2 ways, earnings grwth and/or multiple expansion P/E coming back to normal with earnings growth slowing won't magically make mkt go up Watch S&P forward earnings & give it a realistic p/e
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Could not agree with you more. It is all manipulation at its best. Big pockets control that. Nothing we can do about it. 3500 is my bottom but we will see