If we were in the normal bull market run pattern we've been in all year.
I would go for the guaranteed bounce of 20+ points we had on every 1st trading day of every month since January.
But this one is a little more complicated.
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Middle of the week 1st of the months have sucked this year I know because I play each one with the automatic money expectation the last two have been duds. Trends on 1hour 4 hour and daily are all short signals