Martin Kulldorff on Twitter: "So, would be wrong if it was wrong in the wrong direction. Monty Python would be proud!… "

@MartinKulldorff

Professor Harvard Medical School. Disease surveillance methods. Infectious disease outbreaks. Vaccine safety. Free SaTScan, TreeScan and RSequential software.

Boston, USA

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1. Nuno Machado‏ @nunospmachado Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Or even if it was right in the wrong direction..
  
  2 likes
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1. Crisja‏ @Crisja009 Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  I got lost
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1. Ruter Knekt‏ @ruter_knekt Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  If overly pessimistic predictions are incentivized, there’s an non-negligible bias in the whole business of prediction making
  
  1 like
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1. DJPM‏ @DJPM_SF Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Absolutely! With each grossly erroneous forecast, they further erode any remaining confidence in public health officials/epidemiologists. Remember the CDC Director going on TV in March saying "I'm scared" and sensed "impending doom" of a massive 4th wave that never happened.
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1. Hank Rearden‏ @HankRea72041743 Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  This is understandable! I mean, he might be incompetent, but he is not a monster. HOWEVER, it clearly shows that he does not suffer from ANY CONSEQUENCES from his failed predictions, and that is WRONG!
  
  1 like
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1. Vincent‏ @activist_hedge Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Of course - he is the judge of what the wrong direction is!
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1. Michał 42‏ @MichaZienkiewi1 Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  At least for the last year all this modeling, testing etc has nothing to do with science. " EU Commission points out that tests that detect if a person developed antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 known as antibodies tests cannot be used to obtain a recovery certificate" science.....
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1. Jenia Finegan ‏ @JeniaR Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Does he even realise how much misery these predictions caused? How many lives they have cost?
  
  2 likes
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1. prakman‏ @PrakashSeshadr2 Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Ferguson must have been listening to this.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FvJj7SN9EWI …
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1. The Burning Archive‏ @ArchiveBurning Jul 28
  Replying to @MartinKulldorff
  
  Sounds like directions to a black hole... oh wait forecast was made from an obscure black hole.
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