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MartinKulldorff's profile
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
@MartinKulldorff

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Martin Kulldorff

@MartinKulldorff

Professor Harvard Medical School. Disease surveillance methods. Infectious disease outbreaks. Vaccine safety. Free SaTScan, TreeScan and RSequential software.

Boston, USA
drugepi.org/team/martin-ku…
Joined May 2014

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    1. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @VPrasadMDMPH

      Agree an important perspective. I disagree that most GBD critics were focused on funding, but were asking for details of the plan & earnest debate, which was not forthcoming. @melindacmills @dgurdasani1 @BillHanage

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    2. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Those are, ironically, strawman arguments. We have called for and happily engaged with scientist in earnest public debate, but there are few takers. Details here:https://gbdeclaration.org/frequently-asked-questions/ …

      5 replies 4 retweets 38 likes
    3. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

      I’m grateful for the FAQs, but they did come later. They still avoid many key issues such as how many expected to die, be hospitalized & suffer long term health effects even *best case* in unshielded groups?https://www.demographicscience.ox.ac.uk/post/the-human-cost-of-natural-herd-immunity …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How is 3-6 months feasible? Can’t have it both ways & say you’re not encouraging infection but want to reach natural immunity quickly. Such transmission even in young would overwhelm hospitals:https://www.pnas.org/content/117/41/25897 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      What % of the population is in the vulnerable categories who are shielded? Between this & high transmission, how do you project this will bring about a rebounding economy?

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How did vaccines fit into your thoughts in October, and how has that changed?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Dear Jenn/@drjenndowd. Thank you for engaging in a scientific exchange. I really appreciate that. In the next few tweets, I will respond to your posts/questions in backward order. 1/8

      5 replies 13 retweets 58 likes
    8. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Thanks Martin. I genuinely appreciate the academic exchange as well. Attempted a x-mas break from twitter but have some initial thoughts on your replies offered below. 1/

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      IMO the GBD proposition to “build up immunity through natural infection” is most compelling if no possibility of vaccines or improved treatments ever or in the foreseeable future. The potential for vaccines looked promising in Sep/Oct but efficacy & timeline were not known. 2/

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      So I still ask, why does having a highly efficacious vaccine available not merit a reconsideration, since any COVID-19 long-term illness, hospitalization & death avoided now (even among younger groups) could be forestalled forever?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 27 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Fair question. We also need to urgently implement other focused ways to protect the old, since vaccines are not 100% effective and takes time to roll out. That is half the GBD. 1/2https://www.newsweek.com/we-should-focus-protecting-vulnerable-covid-infection-opinion-1543225 …

      10:19 AM - 27 Dec 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 3 Likes
      • Tanya Klymenko Ian J Seath Martin Fogel
      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 27 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

          Lockdown measures such as closed schools/universities are generating enormous long-term collateral damage on children and young adults. The price on working class is too high from lockdowns that failed to protect the old. This is the 2nd half of GBD. 2/2http://www.collateralglobal.org 

          1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
        3. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 28 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

          Agree 💯that school closures are very costly-Europe chose a different path than US but that doesn't imply not minimizing transmission otherwise. Re:collateral damage-I thought you said GBD was not about economic costs? & this evidence separates effects of restrictions vs. virus?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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