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MartinKulldorff's profile
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
@MartinKulldorff

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Martin Kulldorff

@MartinKulldorff

Professor Harvard Medical School. Disease surveillance methods. Infectious disease outbreaks. Vaccine safety. Free SaTScan, TreeScan and RSequential software.

Boston, USA
drugepi.org/team/martin-ku…
Joined May 2014

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    1. Vinay Prasad, MD MPH  🎙️ 📷‏Verified account @VPrasadMDMPH 23 Dec 2020

      Take a minute to read this piece 👇 It's about how to debate and is very smart Don't strawman ur opponent And in a sea of opinions, don't fight the pole, but the best version of the opposing argument And school closures is a huge mistakehttps://www.statnews.com/2020/12/23/put-straw-man-pandemic-denial-out-of-its-misery/ …

      15 replies 46 retweets 165 likes
    2. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @VPrasadMDMPH

      Agree an important perspective. I disagree that most GBD critics were focused on funding, but were asking for details of the plan & earnest debate, which was not forthcoming. @melindacmills @dgurdasani1 @BillHanage

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Those are, ironically, strawman arguments. We have called for and happily engaged with scientist in earnest public debate, but there are few takers. Details here:https://gbdeclaration.org/frequently-asked-questions/ …

      5 replies 4 retweets 38 likes
    4. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

      I’m grateful for the FAQs, but they did come later. They still avoid many key issues such as how many expected to die, be hospitalized & suffer long term health effects even *best case* in unshielded groups?https://www.demographicscience.ox.ac.uk/post/the-human-cost-of-natural-herd-immunity …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How is 3-6 months feasible? Can’t have it both ways & say you’re not encouraging infection but want to reach natural immunity quickly. Such transmission even in young would overwhelm hospitals:https://www.pnas.org/content/117/41/25897 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      What % of the population is in the vulnerable categories who are shielded? Between this & high transmission, how do you project this will bring about a rebounding economy?

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How did vaccines fit into your thoughts in October, and how has that changed?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Dear Jenn/@drjenndowd. Thank you for engaging in a scientific exchange. I really appreciate that. In the next few tweets, I will respond to your posts/questions in backward order. 1/8

      5 replies 13 retweets 58 likes
    9. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

      Vaccines are great for focused protection if we prioritize older high-risk people and their care takers, like Florida. To minimize deaths, we must also urgently improve protection of the old through standard public health measures listed in the @gbdeclaration & FAQ. 2/8pic.twitter.com/AXaGdmuBN5

      5 replies 28 retweets 100 likes
      Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

      Nursing home residents have highest risk, but <1% of US population. People >60 who should work from home or take short sabbaticals are fewer than those currently working from home. There are many retirees, but protecting them with e.g. grocery deliveries is relatively easy. 3/8

      2:35 PM - 24 Dec 2020
      • 4 Retweets
      • 35 Likes
      • thiischriis EndemicEquilibrium Ashley Pennewill Julia💚🤍💜#ImDone Andrew Jennifer Sey Kristen BOUTROS ⽊ Newman Nahas
      2 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

          Not an economist, so I dare not make economic projections. The #GreatBarringtonDeclaration is solely based on minimizing mortality from #COVID19 and minimize lockdown generated collateral damage from eg cancer, cardiovascular disease and mental health. 4/8http://www.gbdeclaration.org 

          2 replies 4 retweets 47 likes
        3. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

          Few people <50 require hospitalization. To avoid overburdened hospitals, the key is to protect the old through focused protection. Everyone should take basic precautions, and nobody should deliberately get infected. That is stupid. Also increases the herd immunity threshold. 5/8

          5 replies 7 retweets 42 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

          This still downplays that this >60 group is quite large, no? That’s almost 75 mill in US, 23% of the population. Then need to add <60s with co-morbidities, all who work and live with this group, etc. A large % of pop needing to be protected.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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