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MartinKulldorff's profile
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
@MartinKulldorff

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Martin Kulldorff

@MartinKulldorff

Professor Harvard Medical School. Disease surveillance methods. Infectious disease outbreaks. Vaccine safety. Free SaTScan, TreeScan and RSequential software.

Boston, USA
drugepi.org/team/martin-ku…
Joined May 2014

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    1. Vinay Prasad, MD MPH  🎙️ 📷‏Verified account @VPrasadMDMPH 23 Dec 2020

      Take a minute to read this piece 👇 It's about how to debate and is very smart Don't strawman ur opponent And in a sea of opinions, don't fight the pole, but the best version of the opposing argument And school closures is a huge mistakehttps://www.statnews.com/2020/12/23/put-straw-man-pandemic-denial-out-of-its-misery/ …

      15 replies 46 retweets 165 likes
    2. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @VPrasadMDMPH

      Agree an important perspective. I disagree that most GBD critics were focused on funding, but were asking for details of the plan & earnest debate, which was not forthcoming. @melindacmills @dgurdasani1 @BillHanage

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 23 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Those are, ironically, strawman arguments. We have called for and happily engaged with scientist in earnest public debate, but there are few takers. Details here:https://gbdeclaration.org/frequently-asked-questions/ …

      5 replies 4 retweets 38 likes
    4. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

      I’m grateful for the FAQs, but they did come later. They still avoid many key issues such as how many expected to die, be hospitalized & suffer long term health effects even *best case* in unshielded groups?https://www.demographicscience.ox.ac.uk/post/the-human-cost-of-natural-herd-immunity …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How is 3-6 months feasible? Can’t have it both ways & say you’re not encouraging infection but want to reach natural immunity quickly. Such transmission even in young would overwhelm hospitals:https://www.pnas.org/content/117/41/25897 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      What % of the population is in the vulnerable categories who are shielded? Between this & high transmission, how do you project this will bring about a rebounding economy?

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

      How did vaccines fit into your thoughts in October, and how has that changed?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
      Replying to @drjenndowd @VPrasadMDMPH and

      Dear Jenn/@drjenndowd. Thank you for engaging in a scientific exchange. I really appreciate that. In the next few tweets, I will respond to your posts/questions in backward order. 1/8

      2:34 PM - 24 Dec 2020
      • 13 Retweets
      • 58 Likes
      • Tibor Adam Varga City177 Tanya Klymenko R̶u̶d̶i̶ ̶E̶r̶n̶s̶t̶ Amani MD Devon Baard Roelof Naude fredriklyhne She Says So
      5 replies 13 retweets 58 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

          Vaccines are great for focused protection if we prioritize older high-risk people and their care takers, like Florida. To minimize deaths, we must also urgently improve protection of the old through standard public health measures listed in the @gbdeclaration & FAQ. 2/8pic.twitter.com/AXaGdmuBN5

          5 replies 28 retweets 100 likes
        3. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 24 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @drjenndowd and

          Nursing home residents have highest risk, but <1% of US population. People >60 who should work from home or take short sabbaticals are fewer than those currently working from home. There are many retirees, but protecting them with e.g. grocery deliveries is relatively easy. 3/8

          2 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Joe Hutzal‏ @JoeHutzal 24 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @DavidStaplesYEG and

          Sounds like a whole shit load of common sense.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @VPrasadMDMPH and

          Thanks Martin. I genuinely appreciate the academic exchange as well. Attempted a x-mas break from twitter but have some initial thoughts on your replies offered below. 1/

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Jenn Dowd‏ @drjenndowd 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @drjenndowd @MartinKulldorff and

          IMO the GBD proposition to “build up immunity through natural infection” is most compelling if no possibility of vaccines or improved treatments ever or in the foreseeable future. The potential for vaccines looked promising in Sep/Oct but efficacy & timeline were not known. 2/

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. R̶u̶d̶i̶ ̶E̶r̶n̶s̶t̶‏ @rudiernst 29 Dec 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @NickHudsonCT and

          Great thread, thanks.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mysty Stewart‏ @PlayMsT4Me 29 Dec 2020
          Replying to @rudiernst @MartinKulldorff and

          Every scientist, MD or anyone making such big decisions for millions of Americans should be able to respectfully debate like this with well thought out arguments. Anyone who can't or refuses to is just pushing an agenda. Thank you both for this discussion.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. End of conversation

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