They do seem prophetic! Governor Cuomo on April 1 said the modeling showed New York State would hit 77,000 hospitalizations by the end of April, top was 18,800 in early April, this is not to be critical just to point out that everyone should be humble with their predictions
"Scientists sometimes use mathematics to give the illusion of certainty." - these 20 year old words of wisdom by @SunetraGupta has certainly been proven true for #covid19.https://www.aier.org/article/professor-sunetra-gupta-on-the-perils-of-disease-modelling/ …
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This is a strange argument, as Gabriela Gomes' mathematical models have been consistently accurate, and they support your position.
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Hers aren't "predictive" so much as "illustrative". And she's certainly been humble about them, in no way suggesting they're "the truth"...only "an explanation".
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People in power should be sent a copy.
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Yet it continues to amaze me that they will use these models as justification for lockdowns/NPIs, even after said models were proven to be disastrously wrong. For instance the IHME model still says Sweden will see exponential growth if they stop wearing masks...pic.twitter.com/TfGHeuRmtW
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It’s a masquerade .... over and over
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Look at economics
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At the time this was written the following must have seemed like hyperbole; no longer: "Indeed, the widespread misappropriation of the language of mathematics in the social and biological sciences has to be one of the great tragedies of our time."
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