Contact tracing, testing and isolation is important against many infectious disease outbreaks, such as Ebola and post-vaccine measles. It is ineffective, naïve and counter-productive against COVID19, influenza, pre-vaccine measles, etc, and by definition, against any pandemic.
-
-
Replying to @MartinKulldorff
Can you explain why? Not sarcastic. Just hoping to understand.
2 replies 0 retweets 12 likes -
Replying to @Belisarian
Problems when one or more of: (1) disease is widely spread, (2) there are many mild or asymptomatic cases, (3) there is pre-symptomatic transmission, (4) we cannot identify the first index case in a given population, or how that person got infected.
5 replies 27 retweets 117 likes -
Replying to @MartinKulldorff @Belisarian
How did South Korea pull it off, Martin?
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
Replying to @GregRetallack @Belisarian
Martin Kulldorff Retweeted Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff added,
Martin Kulldorff @MartinKulldorff
Replying to @bealelab
Hi Rupert. Countries like S Korea and NZ have mainly kept number low through lockdowns, including nation-wide isolation, which can postpone outbreaks until we have a vaccine 3 month to never from now. With few cases, their contact tracing has helped a little on top of that.
8:07 PM - 19 Sep 2020
1 reply
0 retweets
1 like
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.