Martin Kulldorff

Have you looked at the data in GA? GA heavily criticized for opening early. Interesting they are projected to have ~same number of deaths as Sweden, both population of ~10mil. GA excess mortality better than most of NE US.

Trends in GA are good - % positive, ER visits, hospitalizations all down. Deaths appear to have peaked. I haven’t observed much change in behavior over the last few months to account for this.

Of course the early US peak is deaths/entire US population whereas a large percentage of US was unaffected at that time. To some extent you can say the same about Sweden but bigger denominator dilution effect in US.

This strikes me as cherrypicked. Many countries have applied "universal lockdown", but few (except Trump) would claim the US have managed the best and most consistent implementation.

Is it more cherrypicked than when Sweden is only compared to lockdown countries with low mortality rates, selected post hoc? To put results in context maybe we could agree to always include EU27+UK?

Please be aware of that Sweden has been on vacation since late June. With school re-starting this week comes the critical 2nd wave test.

Yes been telling people that too. My friend in Sweden said in May school was in session only a short time too.