In Sweden right now, R is well below 1. When cases are close to zero and more restrictions are removed, R will increase. If R<1 when fully open, there is heard immunity. If R rises above 1, there will be another bump until increased immunity drives R below 1 again.https://twitter.com/BierleinPar/status/1291087338114883584 …
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Not just comfortably below 1 but also *very tightly clamped* below 1. Literally a straight line you can draw with a ruler for the past 4 months. Hard to believe such consistency is attributable to soft recommendations and voluntary human behaviors.pic.twitter.com/TBs2upTVaj
Thanks Ramin. Where is the graph from? I agree that it is hard to believe such a flat line once it went below one.
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This one is from FHM. Calculated on severe cases. The R(t) calculations online is on all cases (mild + severe) so I think this is a better way to calculate? Measure the same thing? R(t) < 1 anyhows. https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/4b4dd8c7e15d48d2be744248794d1438/riket-skattning-av-det-momentana-reproduktionstalet-2020-08-03.pdf …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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