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MartinKulldorff's profile
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
Martin Kulldorff
@MartinKulldorff

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Martin Kulldorff

@MartinKulldorff

Professor Harvard Medical School. Disease surveillance methods. Infectious disease outbreaks. Vaccine safety. Free SaTScan, TreeScan and RSequential software.

Boston, USA
drugepi.org/team/martin-ku…
Joined May 2014

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    1. Apoorva Mandavilli‏Verified account @apoorva_nyc 1 Aug 2020

      Again, I'd give anything for my 11-year-old to be grumpy with his friends again, and for my 8-year-old to giggle with hers, but we'll just need to wait longer till we have this thing under control. They get it. I hope you do, too. 7/7

      28 replies 22 retweets 369 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nick Foy‏ @TheNickFoy 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @apoorva_nyc

      Honestly this isn't about your kids or my kids who will probably be fine either way. There are millions of kids who absolutely will not be okay without school being opened, and they absolutely aren't at risk from COVID.

      1 reply 1 retweet 23 likes
    3. Apoorva Mandavilli‏Verified account @apoorva_nyc 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @TheNickFoy

      The same kids you're talking about are the ones whose families are most at risk. Talking about only the kids is meaningless without that context

      1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
    4. Nick Foy‏ @TheNickFoy 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @apoorva_nyc

      What's meaningless is pretending that everyone is at equal risk from COVID and treating everyone as equally suseptible to serious consequences.

      3 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
    5. Apoorva Mandavilli‏Verified account @apoorva_nyc 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @TheNickFoy

      I literally said certain families are most at risk and most kids are not. So I'd suggest you read the tweets again.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Nick Foy‏ @TheNickFoy 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @apoorva_nyc

      So how about we formulate a strategy to be honest about who is at risk and use resources to protect those people. That doesn't have to mean exposing millions of others to significant risk and dire consequences.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Apoorva Mandavilli‏Verified account @apoorva_nyc 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @TheNickFoy

      Sure! If someone with the power to make it happen can implement that strategy, I'd be delighted to report it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    8. Nick Foy‏ @TheNickFoy 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @apoorva_nyc

      Nick Foy Retweeted Martin Kulldorff

      Giving a voice to scientists who have advocated for such a strategy is a start.https://twitter.com/MartinKulldorff/status/1248617666308235264?s=19 …

      Nick Foy added,

      Martin Kulldorff @MartinKulldorff
      "Since COVID-19 operates in a highly age specific manner, mandated counter measures must also be age specific. If not, lives will be unnecessarily lost." https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/covid-19-counter-measures-should-age-specific-martin-kulldorff/ … pic.twitter.com/8XR9869fHe
      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    9. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @TheNickFoy @apoorva_nyc

      Dear @apoorva_nyc, Sweden never closed day-care/primary/middle schools during the pandemic, with zero COVID19 deaths among 1.8 million children ages 1-15. So, less risk than annual flu. Teachers had same risk as average for other professions. https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/c1b78bffbfde4a7899eb0d8ffdb57b09/covid-19-school-aged-children.pdf …

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    10. Apoorva Mandavilli‏Verified account @apoorva_nyc 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @MartinKulldorff @TheNickFoy

      I've seen the study, thanks. But the testing is hugely different between the two, and we don't know what happened with the families of the kids because of the lack of contact tracing.

      3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 1 Aug 2020
      Replying to @apoorva_nyc @TheNickFoy

      Population studies are better. One evaluated high-risk 70+ individuals during height of pandemic in Sweden. Those living with working age adults had higher risk, but no excess risk beyond that if also living with children age <16 (with schools open). https://su.figshare.com/articles/preprint/Residential_Context_and_COVID-19_Mortality_among_the_Elderly_in_Stockholm_A_population-based_observational_study/12612947/1 …

      1:19 PM - 1 Aug 2020
      • 19 Retweets
      • 44 Likes
      • Kristie alex Believe In America Amy Kosari 7of9 Nick Foy Jan Tångring Newman Nahas J. Valentine
      1 reply 19 retweets 44 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Paul Surovell‏ @paulsurovell 1 Aug 2020
          Replying to @MartinKulldorff @apoorva_nyc @TheNickFoy

          Prof. Kulldorff, I have no training in this field but I'm trying to follow the issue. Could you point out where in the study it says no excess risk if living w children age <16? Thank you.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Martin Kulldorff‏ @MartinKulldorff 1 Aug 2020
          Replying to @paulsurovell @apoorva_nyc @TheNickFoy

          It is in the full pdf report. Figure 1, Age structure of HH. The blue point estimate for "Co-res w someone <66 + child<16" is to the left of "Co-res w someone <66".

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies

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