We squandered months of time this spring when we could have contained this epidemic and made it an easy choice to send kids to school. Without those precautions in place, it's a risk. Not to most kids (still risky for some), but to all the adults around them. 5/x
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It's possible kids get infected less often than adults, but it's not zero. It's possible kids transmit to others less than adults. But it's not zero. With our epidemic at the level it is, even a small contribution to overall transmission could have a big impact. 6/x
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Again, I'd give anything for my 11-year-old to be grumpy with his friends again, and for my 8-year-old to giggle with hers, but we'll just need to wait longer till we have this thing under control. They get it. I hope you do, too. 7/7
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Replying to @apoorva_nyc
Honestly this isn't about your kids or my kids who will probably be fine either way. There are millions of kids who absolutely will not be okay without school being opened, and they absolutely aren't at risk from COVID.
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Replying to @TheNickFoy
The same kids you're talking about are the ones whose families are most at risk. Talking about only the kids is meaningless without that context
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Replying to @apoorva_nyc
What's meaningless is pretending that everyone is at equal risk from COVID and treating everyone as equally suseptible to serious consequences.
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Replying to @TheNickFoy
I literally said certain families are most at risk and most kids are not. So I'd suggest you read the tweets again.
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Replying to @apoorva_nyc
So how about we formulate a strategy to be honest about who is at risk and use resources to protect those people. That doesn't have to mean exposing millions of others to significant risk and dire consequences.
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Replying to @TheNickFoy
Sure! If someone with the power to make it happen can implement that strategy, I'd be delighted to report it.
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Replying to @apoorva_nyc
Nick Foy Retweeted Martin Kulldorff
Giving a voice to scientists who have advocated for such a strategy is a start.https://twitter.com/MartinKulldorff/status/1248617666308235264?s=19 …
Nick Foy added,
Martin Kulldorff @MartinKulldorff"Since COVID-19 operates in a highly age specific manner, mandated counter measures must also be age specific. If not, lives will be unnecessarily lost." https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/covid-19-counter-measures-should-age-specific-martin-kulldorff/ … pic.twitter.com/8XR9869fHe2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
Dear @apoorva_nyc, Sweden never closed day-care/primary/middle schools during the pandemic, with zero COVID19 deaths among 1.8 million children ages 1-15. So, less risk than annual flu. Teachers had same risk as average for other professions.
https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/c1b78bffbfde4a7899eb0d8ffdb57b09/covid-19-school-aged-children.pdf …
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Replying to @MartinKulldorff @TheNickFoy
I've seen the study, thanks. But the testing is hugely different between the two, and we don't know what happened with the families of the kids because of the lack of contact tracing.
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Replying to @apoorva_nyc @TheNickFoy
Population studies are better. One evaluated high-risk 70+ individuals during height of pandemic in Sweden. Those living with working age adults had higher risk, but no excess risk beyond that if also living with children age <16 (with schools open). https://su.figshare.com/articles/preprint/Residential_Context_and_COVID-19_Mortality_among_the_Elderly_in_Stockholm_A_population-based_observational_study/12612947/1 …
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