Two uses of "science" in everyday parlance. There is (1) a method of investigation of natural phenomena, and (2) a religion. Typically "science shows" something, it's second type. More socially acceptable in bougie circles to claim science than to say "I have a superstition".https://twitter.com/MartinKulldorff/status/1289104607428345857 …
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Kids don't die of COVID-19 (by and large). Kids die from influenza (regularly, esp 0–5). So it's not a v. interesting comparison. The reason to close schools has nothing to do w/kids, TBH. Whether or not to close schools is debatable, but it's good to have the right context.
Teacher safety is another argument used against #OpenSchools. We can use same counterfactual/ref. With schools open, compared to other professions, the COVID19 RR was 0.9 (95% CI 0.7-1.1) for day-care and 1.1 (95% CI 0.9-1.3) for primary school teachers. Sample size 260K. 1/4
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Family safety is 3rd concern. Same counterfactual. Elderly living with working age family members plus children did not have higher risk than those living with working age family members without children. 2/4 https://su.figshare.com/articles/preprint/Residential_Context_and_COVID-19_Mortality_among_the_Elderly_in_Stockholm_A_population-based_observational_study/12612947/1 …
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Community transmission is 4th concern. If schools were drivers of the epidemic, teachers and elderly family members would have higher risk, but they don’t.
#COVID19 is different from flu, where children are major spreaders. 3/4 - Show replies
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@MartinKulldorff Was the reference group for the RR estimate really all other professions? Not familiar with the Sweden context, but if uncontrolled transmission is occurring in other professions, infection risk among teachers may be very high... similar to other professions. -
Is there a link for the write-up of the study you're referencing?
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