Excellent article on #OpenSchools by @davidzweig at @WIRED. "The US seems eager to copy the most excessive measures implemented elsewhere, despite the evidence of minimal pediatric risk and infectiousness, and against the advice of many epidemiologists"https://www.wired.com/story/its-ridiculous-to-treat-schools-like-covid-hot-zones/ …
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Schools are hot zones for transmission of other respiratory viruses, why would SARS-CoV-2 be any different? I think the lack of proper studies on the issue should not be taken as proof that this virus would have some magical ability that don't make it spread in schools.
Sweden never closed day-care/primary schools during the pandemic. Compared to all other profession, the relative risk of #COVID19 was 0.9 (95% CI 0.7-1.1) for day-care teachers and 1.1 (95% CI 0.9-1.3) for primary school teachers. So, not a hot zone. https://folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/c1b78bffbfde4a7899eb0d8ffdb57b09/covid-19-school-aged-children.pdf …
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Oh...Is that so? That thing you posted is claimed as proof for a desired conclusion, but it has not proved much at all, except maybe how easy it is to deceive professors at Harvard. Were you under the impression that they compared risk for all professions? And 1 is mean value?
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They are using biased data models to sample cherry picked data. The data is then sprinkled with some bullshit text that tells another story than the real data. In step 2 they reference this "research" as proof of something, that the report don't prove.
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We don't understand the relatively low overall seroprevalence in Sweden either. Perhaps genetics, e.g. high HLA coverage for the diferent
#SARSCoV2 proteins for Swedes in Figure 3 in https://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.03.20121301v1.full.pdf …. This might also be related to this T-cell study https://news.ki.se/immunity-to-covid-19-is-probably-higher-than-tests-have-shown … -
I think it's just that for whatever reason {Insert a bunch of contributing reasons}, the virus didn't spread as rapidly or as widely as many had assumed this spring. The measures in Sweden were softer, but seemed to have worked better than many had assumed.
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