Maybe(?) in Sweden, but not in the USA. It is not over until death counts are close to zero without a lockdown. The lockdown just postpones the epidemic until we have a vaccine or until we lift the lockdown at a later date. @MLevitt_NP2013https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1287036738565738496 …
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Replying to @MartinKulldorff @MLevitt_NP2013
My read is that lockdowns have not held back many, if any, infections (no resurgence in NYC area, etc), bc we started too late, so the virus continues to move around fairly freely. I could see it burning out in 4 wks—but they could manipulate death data into November, sadly.
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Replying to @stacey_rudin @MLevitt_NP2013
Hi Stacey. Hit hard before lockdown, NYC now has high immunity, so you may be right there. Hard to know. Death counts are partly high due to the nursing home fiasco, which did not generate much immunity, but they have also had considerable immune generating community transmission
9:16 PM - 25 Jul 2020
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