It is so perpetually exhausting to have to correct these medically and scientifically illiterate pub bores that somehow have national voices gifted to them not by talent or knowledge, but by virtue of nothing other than their volume.https://twitter.com/TelePolitics/status/1281999834845773826 …
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Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge
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Herd immunity does not work like this - as we teach in GCSE biology. Individual immunity, typically via vaccination, prevent the spread of a contagious disease through a population when a majority of that population are immunised and this cannot infect others when exposed to it.
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We don’t know if this will work for COVID-19, as a) there is no vaccine b) symptomless infection occurs c) we don’t know if having had the disease confers immunity... d) or if it does, with any permanence.
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e) vaccine-less herd immunity (with the previous crippling caveats) will require more people to get the disease, and there more people to die. f) I believe exposure rates in the U.K. are currently around 5%, 17% in London. Herd immunity requires >80%.
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Replying to @AdamRutherford
Dear
@AdamRutherford, No respectable epidemiologist would state the % needed for herd immunity or today's exposure/immunity rates. We do not know. Maybe you wish to learn from those of us who actually study infectious disease outbreaks. https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/04/29/delaying-herd-immunity-is-costing-lives/ …@toadmeister1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MartinKulldorff @toadmeister
That's a useful and valid point and I appreciate it. I'm not going to read it in Spiked though, because it's a silly place.
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Replying to @AdamRutherford @toadmeister
Then I suggest reading this instead:https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/covid-19-counter-measures-should-age-specific-martin-kulldorff/ …
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The best infectious disease epidemiologist in UK is @SunetraGupta at Oxford, so I also recommend listening to her. (I trust that you do not view women scientists of color as "silly").https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wAJuo20Uyf8 …
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