1) He’s already proven he can win with his base alone and he has a lot of room to grow with a couple of groups.
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One, Trump was unhinged and the world would end and everything was going to be awful. He’s still who he was, but the world hasn’t ended. Despite his antics the economy is doing well. He’s sucked on a lot of issues, but not any more than previous presidents.
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So if you normally Vote Republican were afraid of a lot of bad shit happening and, well, it didn’t, does that make you more likely to vote for him?
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2. If you were a conservative like me who preferred to see Trump lose in 2016 so Trumpiam could die and a real conservative could come back in 2020... at this point the next conservative revival hope is 2024 whether Trump wins or lose. What’s the advantage of that position now?
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3) Democrats have a lot of problems. Hillary lost because she couldn’t build enough of a coalition and lost too many Uber-libs and middle class swing voters to 3rd party candidates. No Obama-esque candidate that i aww to rebuild that.
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4) People reading waaayy too much into 2018 House results. Half of the flipped districts were ones Trump lost anyway. The ones that were his were contested by district-specific house candidates. That’s not a luxury in a presidential contest. Warren doesn’t fly in many of those.
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End of conversation
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It all depends on how crazy the dems force their nominee to be. If they allow there nominee to be somewhat moderate they should win, but I think they will force the nominee far left that will help Trump greatly.
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