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Marco_Piani's profile
Marco Piani
Marco Piani
Marco Piani
@Marco_Piani

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Marco Piani

@Marco_Piani

Tweeting & not tweeting at the same time. Physicist by training, silly by choice. Views my own.

Canada
Joined April 2013

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    1. James Todaro, MD‏Verified account @JamesTodaroMD 5 Jul 2020

      Florida now has over 10k COVID-19 cases/day. When NY peaked at 10k cases/day...hospitals were overwhelmed, ventilators in short supply and daily deaths ~1k. We aren’t seeing this in Florida. The most vulnerable found ways to protect themselves outside of government mandates.pic.twitter.com/zeMjtUqZkt

      96 replies 263 retweets 739 likes
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      Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani 5 Jul 2020
      Replying to @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

      The positive rate in New York at that time was around 45%. Florida’s is presently slightly above 15%pic.twitter.com/S1dRO42eCW

      3:59 PM - 5 Jul 2020
      • 2 Retweets
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      • Sulid Fan Account 🤷🏻‍♀️ Albert Camós Noguer Mario Romero Zavala ReadyNow4TheFuture
      3 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @Marco_Piani @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          Also, Florida’s population is larger than NY’s, by about a factor 2, if I am not wrong.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @Marco_Piani @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          So presently Florida has around half the confirmed cases per capita, with around 1/3 of the positive rate. Very very very (did I say “very”?) roughly FL has presently the equivalent of a sixth of the cases per capita NY had at the time. Even if not a sixth, certainly much less.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Steve Cheney‏ @stevecheney 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @Marco_Piani @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          What do you make of NY peaked at 45% positive rate but there were fewer tests available (and tests were for extreme cases - hospitalized)? It’s hard to know what the multiplier is of cases in FL (actual vs captured) right now still, which would tell a lot combined with growth.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @stevecheney @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          Adopting a simple&simplistic estimate based on correcting for population size and for positive rate, I can very very very very very roughly estimate that FL is in the postion NY was when it had still ~1500 confirmed cases / day. Did I mention that this is a rough estimate?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Patrick Breitenbach  🇺🇸‏ @pbreit 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @Marco_Piani @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          Implications? Only sick were getting tested so not sure what is being suggested.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani 5 Jul 2020
          Replying to @pbreit @JamesTodaroMD @nebre8ed

          [see also rest of my reply in tweets under the one you commented on] FL is not yet at the level of infections (particualy per capita) that NY had at its peak, despite the fact the absolute number of daily confirmed cases is similar.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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