In a related vein, which might or might not contradict this claim, have you seen eqsat?
http://www.cs.cornell.edu/~ross/publications/eqsat/ …
(Credit where it is due - I just ran into this paper via a tweet by @taktoa - very interesting!)
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Like many apparent paradoxes, this is resolved by the flow of time. Whether a judgement call was good can be obvious in retrospect, and then we can work out what procedures lead to good predictions.
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We should judge decisions based on decision quality, not in retrospect. So yes, in aggregate we can pick where there was good judgement, but we then still need to use judgement to determine what parts made the judgement good.
End of conversation
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