2) I definitely notice that my preferences, judged purely on an introspective / personal basis, aren't particularly stable
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
3) In some areas, my preferences is predictably unknown; I don't always know what I will want to eat later in the week. It's a known unknown
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
4) It can be conditional on uncertainty; if I feel sick, I want to eat milder foods. That's fine; decisions can be made under uncertainty.
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
5) In these areas I'm aware my choices depend on later inputs or chance. Example? Where I will choose to work depends on jobs available then
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
6) But, as an interesting third category, my (introspective) discount rate for the future is not only time-inconsistent, but varies.
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
7) My revealed preferences, (economist-speak for "what I actually do") might make it non-obvious to an observer, but it's a real phenomenon.
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
8) The thing I've been thinking about is how preferences (especially my discount rate) vary predictably, and how I can make use of that fact
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
9) So, when I'm playing a computer game, I tend to get much less willing to make good long term decisions, like going to bed on time.
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
10) (But I'm unsure if that preference is consistent then; would I be less willing to delay some other gratification from 1 week to 2?)
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
11) Other things make me more focused on long-term thinking for days; a Less Wrong or Effective Altruism meetup, or reading certain books.
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12) I suspect that others in the LW-diaspora have discussed this, but I didn't find anything. So, replies with links welcome! Fin.
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Replying to @MakerOfDecision
do you model this as System 1 / System 2 causing utility function instability? I find an awareness model helps more
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Replying to @glitch_hat @MakerOfDecision
i.e. I make the meta-move whenever I can (I become aware of what I'm doing) and recall my agency
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