When evaluating potential actions, some are local, requiring only local information. Others require evaluating things beyond your expertise.
It is critical to have effective heuristics for evaluating things you can't optimize yourself - but this is both an art AND a science.
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You should always be using outside view; 1) Ask others 2) Consider Value of Information 3) Try consulting an oracle; https://www.thegamecrafter.com/games/the-problem …
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