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MakerOfDecision's profile
MakerOfDecision
MakerOfDecision
MakerOfDecision
@MakerOfDecision

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MakerOfDecision

@MakerOfDecision

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Joined January 2015

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    1. MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @MakerOfDecision

      .@argletargle That means that the only way an argument can serve as evidence against a hypothesis is by serving as evidence for alternatives

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @MakerOfDecision

      .@argletargle So a weak argument FOR something cannot reduce its probability. If a better argument exists, it serves as a floor.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @MakerOfDecision

      @MakerOfDecision Okay, agree that we'd need logical uncertainty. But I think your point is intuitively wrong in the human domain.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @MakerOfDecision I guess what's happening is that implicitly I'm assuming that you have "already updated" on all the weak arguments. Then

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @MakerOfDecision you uncertain about whether there are strong arguments. If the best advocate is presenting their case and starts saying

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @MakerOfDecision a bunch of weak arguments you downdate that there are good arguments, so you downdate the probability of the proposition.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @MakerOfDecision ...because if there were good arguments then the advocate would be making them instead of weak ones.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @argletargle But that's about your model of the advocate, not about the argument. And it has TONS of extra assumptions needed.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @MakerOfDecision

      @argletargle I agree that if you're discussing the human domain such things are needed, but it's orthogonal to the original discussion.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @MakerOfDecision

      @MakerOfDecision Eh? I thought we are talking about fallacies. Like, fallacies people make in arguments.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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      Replying to @argletargle

      @argletargle There is a difference between logical fallacies committed in discourse, and argumentative fallacies. I was assuming the former.

      4:03 PM - 3 Aug 2015
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Hole Of Black‏ @argletargle 3 Aug 2015
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          Replying to @MakerOfDecision

          @MakerOfDecision Okay... So are you saying that when humans use this, it is usually actually correct but always a logical fallacy?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. MakerOfDecision‏ @MakerOfDecision 3 Aug 2015
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          Replying to @argletargle

          @argletargle Unsure if it's usually correct. I suspect most of the time it's simply a failure to steel man; people debate opportunistically.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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