A thoughtful response to @nntaleb's dismissal, w/ fantastic point about tail risks and finite resources near the endhttps://twitter.com/sapinker/status/604019577589088256 …
@admittedlyhuman In the case of Iraq, at the highest levels, they knew (should have known) there was no existential threat at the time
-
-
@MakerOfDecision in that case it seems unfair to blame blackswanning for the problem -
@admittedlyhuman I didn't intend to reference "worst case thinking", but rather that we need to do allocation under uncertainty across risks - 2 more replies
New conversation -
-
-
@admittedlyhuman but I'm not sure that it was an unreasonable decision, from a realpolitik perspective, except US didn't plan/execute wellThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.