Food for thought. "You can't reason people out of positions they didn't reason themselves into." --Ben Goldacre.
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@MakerOfDecision Is Bayesian updating considered to be an ordinary, "folk" form of reasoning? -
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@MakerOfDecision Here's something along lines of whether (some) people think in a Bayesian way. http://lesswrong.com/lw/56e/do_people_think_in_a_bayesian_or_popperian_way/ … - 1 more reply
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@MakerOfDecision Your statement is an instance of hers. Not equivalent unless all reasoning is Bayesian. -
@AlleleOfGene Hmm. Interesting point. I'm implicitly (incorrectly?) assuming that reasoning is fallacious or can be stated probabilistically - 3 more replies
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@MakerOfDecision Interesting...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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