Maggie AstorCompte certifié

Maybe New Hampshire is an outlier, but Klobuchar's late surge there somewhat undermines this part of the case.https://twitter.com/MaggieAstor/status/1235631999173513217 …

"Can" become, not "will always." There are certainly exceptions, but the phenomenon is very real — can see it in voter interviews and in polls showing huge gaps between people who say they'd vote for a woman and people who think their neighbors would vote for a woman.

NH has shown greater propensity to support women candidates; its entire governing slate (GOV, Senate, House) were women in 2014. but still think it's notable that these same voters rejected Buttigieg/Biden for Klobuchar. Undermines the general theory in real life.

Worth noting, certainly. But I disagree that one surge in one state — which, as you said, has shown greater propensity to support women, and where Buttigieg still finished ahead of Klobuchar — undermines the general theory in the face of opposing evidence elsewhere.

the other countervailing evidence is just how well Dem Congressional candidates did against men in the 2018 Congressional primaries. There may be more of an executive (vs. legislative) bias, but there are a whole lot of downballot data points that can't be ignored.