Macrobond Financial

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Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2012.

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  1. Continued rebound of US Non-Manufacturing PMI.

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  2. China’s demographics resemble the old, rich developed world rather than those of other rising economies. The Old Age Dependency Ratio calculates % of total population over the age of 65. More on China´s economy:

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  3. 4. velj

    While the scrambles and Buttigieg claims the victory, the online betting market still favors Sanders as the primary election winner in Iowa.

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  4. 4. velj

    In 2019, China’s real GDP growth clocked in at just over 6%, its lowest in the modern era. What can we expect in this Year of the Rat?

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  5. 4. velj

    The market still thinks there is more risk in the short-term than long-term in the Euro Area. The latest reading of -13 bps came in well below the average spread of 25.2 bps.

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  6. 3. velj

    Sweden´s increased taxes on conventional cars, effective January 1st, has certainly affected consumer behavior.

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  7. 3. velj

    Today China is the economic envy of other developing countries. It has lifted nearly 1 billion people out of poverty. How about a relative comparison to some other East Asian success stories? This and more in this week´s blog

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  8. 3. velj

    The CHF has been strengthening on trend, but sight deposits are not yet showing any signs of SNB interventions.

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  9. 3. velj

    Chinese corporate profits improved as the Yuan weakened in response to the trade war. Now, slowdown in corporate profit growth looks set to continue into 2020 after a re-appreciation in late 2019 and probable disruption from the Corona virus outbreak.

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  10. 31. sij

    Depending on whom you ask, China´s simultaneously bound for global hegemony and/or imminent collapse. Our New York-based analysts comb through Macrobond’s massive Chinese database to examine both long-term trends and short-term fluctuations:

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  11. 31. sij

    Just released PMI for China is in line with expectations after a lackluster 2019, as small manufacturing continues to slump. More on the Chinese economy in our new blog coming up later today.

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  12. 30. sij

    The CBO's annual report projects the US budget deficit to break the $1 trillion mark in 2020. When we quickly adjust for inflation, the projection is less intimidating at about $375 billion.

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  13. 30. sij

    New in the Macrobond database this week: fuel consumption data from the European Commission - and more!

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  14. 30. sij

    Despite falling inflation, labor markets are still tightening and wages still increasing. And since producitivity gains are weak (and claimed by labour), this strongly suggests that British companies are experiencing rapidly shrinking profit margins.

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  15. 30. sij

    UK inflation has been on an apparent downward trend for a few years and is now clearly below the BoE inflation target.

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  16. 30. sij

    To the extent that inflation in Germany's regions mirrors the Euro Area as a whole, this PCA explaining the systemic variance of all regions' CPI indicates that inflation might finally pick up.

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  17. 30. sij

    Investor equity allocation predicts 5-year returns better than most well-known stock market indicators.

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  18. 29. sij

    Ten years after the end of the "Great Recession", US wage growth is finally in line with FED:s inflation target. Tightening policy would undo all that hard-earned progress. Therefore the FED will probably accept some overshooting in the coming years.

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  19. 28. sij

    Millions of residents in the Hubei province are now put in quarantine due to the coronavirus. On top of the immediate human suffering, the economic impact could also be significant. Look out for more on China this Friday, as our economic analysts examine China’s outlook for 2020.

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  20. 28. sij

    The stable relationship between consumer expectations & housing prices seemed to disappear after the "Great Recession". However, like , it's a relationship that seems to be in the process of re-establishing itself......

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