Tweetovi
- Tweetovi, trenutna stranica.
- Tweetovi i odgovori
- Medijski sadržaj
Blokirali ste korisnika/cu @MacroCharts
Jeste li sigurni da želite vidjeti te tweetove? Time nećete deblokirati korisnika/cu @MacroCharts
-
Prikvačeni tweet
A special note to finish the week: This is my new report – a major update on what's happening in global Equities, two months in the making. Have a great weekend! The True Message of the Market (and Thinking for Yourself) New from Macro Charts blog: http://macrocharts.blog/2019/11/08/the-true-message-of-the-market-and-thinking-for-yourself/ …pic.twitter.com/KsA0lEC628
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Year-to-date Daily Sentiment DSI lows:
$NDX 52$NKY 52$SPX 51$XB_F 30$HG_F 17$AUD 13$CL_F 13 Not a single print below 10, no sign of any real distress – and still too much excitement over daily headlines. Attached NDX reference chart with thoughts, and extreme patience.pic.twitter.com/DiueIRbdJE
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
P/C Ratio continues to reflect *significant* complacency, with no evidence the wall of worry has been rebuilt. After prior extreme sentiment peaks, Stocks took much longer than this to reset. Most traders are unprepared for this scenario – need extreme patience.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/iwiXj9C9H6
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
My Core Equity & Master Flow Models are deteriorating – but not enough to trigger a Buy signal. Historically this was an unstable condition, with very poor & highly volatile 1-3M returns. No change in view since mid-January – remaining extremely patient.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/JtimNCKaKu
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Aggregate dealer Gamma briefly turned negative on Monday, and remains close at
$SPX~3250. SG Derivs Strategy shows a history of prior sustained Gamma breaks – when dealers began hedging into falling markets, amplifying Volatility. Very important signal to watch closely here.pic.twitter.com/CrQoNsLp6w
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Macro Charts proslijedio/la je Tweet
Put/Call Ratio 50dma in the top 1.6% most overbought days in 20 years. Few days ever reached this level. In 7 out of 8 cases, Stocks topped immediately or had already peaked. Odds remain heavily skewed for a sharp correction into February-March.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/KkqEFOkfU8
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Stocks don't just turn randomly – this is the picture of a textbook topping sequence:
$VIX bottomed 2m ago (11/26),$RUT &$INDU topped 1/17,$SPX 1/22,$NDX last one standing 1/24. The signs were in place and weakness is now spreading – this will likely need weeks to repair.pic.twitter.com/Absfsvw6Of
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
$VIX Seller P&L Model (updated from Jan 8). Hit one of the most extreme levels in a decade and collapsed. Risk remains significant – BASE CASE look for reset to target zone (market takes all profits back + more). Long way until then – remain on high alert in the coming weeks.pic.twitter.com/jWOlIGSeSW
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
The "Easy Streak" has finally ended. Stocks went a massive *74 days* without a 1% decline, tied for 4th longest in 20+ years (Oct 9 2018). Remember what I wrote – history was not kind to Stocks after things got this easy. Remain on high alert in coming weeks.
$SPX$SPY$ES_Fpic.twitter.com/9HH2Dmex45
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
S&P Daily Sentiment (10dma) hit one of the highest levels ever and *turned down* last week. Odds remain heavily skewed for a sharp correction into February-March.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/d4oOsKEa4a
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
One of my most important Core Risk Models has *turned down* from a historic overbought condition. Since 2009, most signals led to sharp pullbacks or big corrections in Stocks. The next 1-2M remain at potential high risk of a big Tactical regime shift.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/4TdyJbuPt2
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Macro Charts proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
Happy Friday... and 73 days without a 1% decline in
$SPX$SPY$ES_F. Monday will tie for 4th longest in 20+ years (Oct 9 2018). After that only the "century" streaks remain... reminding us that markets are *masters* of the unthinkable. Have a nice weekend.pic.twitter.com/wTetxWTeX9
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Put/Call Ratio 50dma in the top 1.6% most overbought days in 20 years. Few days ever reached this level. In 7 out of 8 cases, Stocks topped immediately or had already peaked. Odds remain heavily skewed for a sharp correction into February-March.
$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/KkqEFOkfU8
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
$NDX rallied 14 out of 16 weeks, one of the longest streaks ever. Most prior streaks led to 10-15% corrections – and the few times the market kept going, it ultimately paid a heavy price. Respect the extreme momentum, but remain alert for reversals & signs of weakness in Tech.pic.twitter.com/NIlrHkQ2Xw
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Call Buy-to-Open Volume at record high for the 2nd week in a row. From
@sentimentrader: “Among everything we follow, this kind of behavior is by far the most troublesome and should be a major worry for anyone buying with a medium-term time frame. It just keeps getting crazier.”pic.twitter.com/Zb2EwOUpp2
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Sentiment (updated).
$SPX DSI hit 92 last week – in the top *0.8%* of days since 2009. Similar spikes occurred *after* Stocks had broken out and rallied for months. In the majority of cases, Stocks were within days of a Short-term or Intermediate top.pic.twitter.com/0y9KLSkCDy
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
One of my most important Core Risk Models is now *historically* overbought. Only a *few days* ever reached these extremes. Since 2009, most signals led to sharp pullbacks or big corrections in Stocks. The next 1-2M remain at potential high risk of a big Tactical regime shift.pic.twitter.com/rNpKaBnvnX
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Sentiment (updated).
$VIX DSI printed 9% Bulls *three more* times this week, pushing the streak to 12 days at <=10% (today could be 13). This is one of the longest streaks ever – 6 out of 7 priors led to spikes in VIX over 20+ and$SPX pulled back 3-10% over several weeks.pic.twitter.com/Q4xFBkneT0
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Stock Analysts are upgrading "Price Targets" at a record pace (data starts 2010). Doesn't mean "Short everything", but certainly shows how far *expectations* have come since 2018 lows. Further, the 3M average has been this elevated only a few times, some led to big Volatility.pic.twitter.com/cKfvaaGkjU
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.