B) Pro: it has Netanyahu’s backing, but it was always going to. More strategic is it gained opposition Blue & White party leader Benny Gantz’s backing. This takes the small ‘p’ politics out of the internal Israeli debate so even if Netanyahu is convicted, the plan could survive
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C) Con: “undivided” capital of Israel is Jerusalem, with Israel controlling security. PA is being offered “Eastern” Jerusalem as capital, plus a US embassy there. It appears “Eastern” Jerusalem is not East Jerusalem. This will cause Muslim anger everywhere (not just in Palestine)
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D) pro: under this plan, Palestinians are said to be offered “more than double” the land they currently hold. And a bird in under therefore would be said to be better than two in the bush
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E) Con: the PA would have to accept Israeli settlements in the West Bank, in return for land exchanges that Israeli has offered (hence the offer of doubling of PA land than what they currently hold)
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F) Pro: So far some Arab states incl. Egypt & UAE have issued statements urging Palestinians to consider & discuss Trump’s plan. The King of Jordan has previously shown a cautious approach without outright rejection. The UK & EU have said it’s a basis for renewed negotiation
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G) Con: security of the West Bank would remain in Israeli hands (though could be / may be scaled back as the PA edge closer to internationally recognised standards for statehood).
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H) Pro: upon commencing negotiations, this plan would include a four year freeze in new Israeli settlement construction.
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I) Con: Turkey & Iran have rejected anything that does not include Jerusalem as the PA’s capital. But Iran especially could cause trouble through her terrorist proxies Hamas & Hizbollah to Israel’s South & North respectively
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J) pro: a plan accepted by at least one side, does form the basis of further negations (assuming sufficient incentive is offered to the other side to compensate for the embarrassment of not having been involved). The US will need some healing balm here
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K) Con for PA: not accepting this plan will further isolate them on the world stage, as public opinion will deem them stubborn & uncompromising. As ex-PM Tony Blair said, it’s in the (very weak, & grossly out manoeuvred) PA’s interests to do more than just utter rejections now
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Summary: this is a difficult plan, *especially* the Jerusalem part, but regardless, forms a moment the PA would be wise to grasp & use as a basis for counter-negotiations (not totally rejecting everything outright) otherwise they are in danger of being totally out manoeuvred..
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... and rejecting this plan leaves no alternative but 1) a One State solution (impossible for Israel to accept, violates the very reason & purpose for Israel’s creation after Holocaust) or 2) more war (not really a wise, nor opinion friendly move for the PA to encourage this)
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..so PA has little room for manoeuvre. If neither Trump’s plan, nor One State/war are plausible, then it’s on PA to propose serious &original alternative. Simply shouting “1000 times No” as PA’s PM Abbas did,doesn’t wash anymore. Public opinion may tire. What’s PA’s counter plan?
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..place this in context of increasing Saudi & UAE normalisation of Israel (with their guns facing Iran, before Israel) & western opinion (apart from the increasingly losing hard-left) hardening against Jihadist terror (which has been Gaza’s main negotiating tactic for a while)
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PA must seize moment for sake of Palestinians & be grown ups in the room. In times like this, leadership is needed far more than sloganeering & certainly far more than pandering to narcissistic western leftist opposition to developments, merely because Trump suggested them.
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As I said, Arab & world opinion & patience toward PA’s refusal to negotiate is running a lot thinner than before https://twitter.com/jerusalem_post/status/1222287289386225668?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1222287289386225668 …
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This thread can all be read in one place on my Facebook page here: https://www.facebook.com/135775283156412/posts/2771334252933822/ …
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The plan is a proposal. Its purpose is to kickstart a long-ago stalled negotiation, before more people unnecessarily die. So far it seems to have done that for everyone, globally, including key Arab regimes, except the Palestinian Authority itself. Take from that what you will.
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